ABSTRACT
The rapid spread of COVID-19 worldwide makes an uncertain impact on the development of digital finance in China. In this background, the measurement of digital financial risk and analysis of influence factor become the focus of the financial field. Therefore, this article builds the indicator system of digital financial risk and uses the Lagrange multiplier method to obtain the optimal comprehensive weight of AHP and entropy weight. Then, this article measures the digital financial risk indexes of China's major regions with high-level economic development from 2013 to 2020. Furthermore, the maximum likelihood estimates of the unknown parameters of skew-normal panel data model are obtained based on the EM algorithm, and the comparative study of the normal and skew-normal panel data models is conducted under AIC and BIC. Finally, based on the result of the model, the influence factors of digital financial risk of China's economically developed regions under COVID-19 are analyzed to provide data support for the prevention and governance of digital financial risk.
ABSTRACT
The health insurance industry in China is undergoing great shocks and profound impacts induced by the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic. Taking for instance the three dominant listed companies, namely, China Life Insurance, Ping An Insurance, and Pacific Insurance, this paper investigates the equity performances of China's health insurance companies during the pandemic. We firstly construct a stock price forecasting methodology using the autoregressive integrated moving average, back propagation neural network, and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network models. We then empirically study the stock price performances of the three listed companies and find out that the LSTM model does better than the other two based on the criteria of mean absolute error and mean square error. Finally, the above-mentioned models are used to predict the stock price performances of the three companies.